Blog Layout

Investment Advice and Planning: Strategy - Module 3.9 Managed Portfolios – Rule of Thumb

Edward Ketterer • Jul 14, 2022
Rule of Thumb

Rule of Thumb is a simple guide and reference point from which a more detailed analysis can occur. It is not based on science but on experience and at best highlights a potential initial outcome or an indication of what may be possible. 


RETURN RULES

Rule of 69, 70, 72, 73, and 74 – measure the number of years it would take to double the value of an investment or alternatively provide a calculated rate of return to achieve a doubling in the value of an investment. The Rule of 72 is best calculated with yields between 6% and 10% and for every 3 percentage points change above or below 8% you add or subtract another point to/from the rule and in this case, this would lead you to The Rule of 73 with 6 percentage points leading to The Rule of 74 and below to The Rule of 70 and 69. Though the Rule of 69 is calculated by dividing 69 by the return plus 0.35.


Rule 114 and 144 – these rules work as follows – Rule 114 how calculates how long it would take to triple the value of an investment. Whereas Rule 144 calculates how long it would take to quadruple the value of an investment the calculation is simple for both i.e., 114 or 144 by dividing by the interest rate or the average of the return over a set time frame.


BUDGETING RULES 

30-30-30-10 & 40-30-20-10 Rule – A basic percentage-based budgeting rule or retirement funding rule as follows:

30-30-30-10 30-30-30-10 40-30-20-10
30% to rent or mortgage 30% to set up bequests or legacies 40% to debt payments
30% to utilities and food 30% to hedge inflation 30% to utilities and food
30% to investing or savings 30% for retirement funding 20% to investing
10% to discretionary spending 10% as a cash reserve 10% to risk products
50-30-20, 60-30-10 & 70-20-10 Rules – apportion monthly income by basic budgeting rules as follows:
50-30-20 60-30-10 70-20-10
50% on necessities 60% to pay off debt or invest 70%, goes on living expenses
30% on desires 30% to purchase what you need 20% to pay off debt or invest
20% on investing 10% discretionary spending 10% discretionary spending

ALLOCATION RULE

100 Rule – is in essence an asset allocation model in relation to equities that works by taking 100 and from that subtracting the age of the individual to provide the percentage of a portfolio that should be invested in stocks at that point in life.

 

PROPERTY RULE

1% Rule – is a basic measure of the rental return that a property should be earning by multiplying the purchase price plus maintenance costs of the property by 1%.

 

RETIREMENT RULE

3%, 4%, 5%, 8% Rule – The following percentages are very basic guidelines and are qualified by the following: living expenses, retirement age, life expectancy, rate of inflation, including portfolio composition and valuation. These percentages represent an Initial Withdrawal Rate (IWR) from a portfolio once in retirement. A 3% IWR off a portfolio would be considered rather conservative by some. Whereas a 4% to 5% IWR is more likely with the 8% IWR being more comfortable. It is assumed that the IWR is covered by distribution from the portfolio in terms of dividends and interest. Once a percentage has been selected it is easy enough to calculate what each percentage represents in terms of total portfolio value i.e. by dividing the initial annual expense (including a percentage emergency buffer in the initial annual amount) by the percentage drawdown of either 3%,4%,5% or 8% will give an initial portfolio valuation for the 1st year. Future adjustments to the drawdown can be made based on the valuation of the portfolio and cost of living index at that time.

 

20x, 25x, 33x, Rule – provides an indication of what a retiree may need, based on the first year’s IWR, in terms of portfolio value. This is calculated by taking the first-year IWR of 4% and multiplying it by 25 or for those looking at early retirement 33. If there are better than expected returns on a portfolio a 5% IWR can be multiplied by 20. This multiple can be adjusted to reflect the IWR percentage that is applied by dividing 100 by the IWR rate i.e. take the first year, in retirement, annual income, and multiple by the outcome of the calculation of 100 divided by the IWR. It should be noted that these calculations are based on a 30-year retirement timeframe but need to be adjusted based on changing living expenses, retirement age, life expectancy, and rate of inflation, including portfolio composition and valuation.

 

STOCK MARKET TRADING RULE

3-Day Rule – This is a straightforward rule of when to buy a stock or market after there has been a major correction which usually is represented by a high single-digit movement down. In other words, wait 3 days before proceeding to buy a stock or market that has declined in value as this may represent a significant change in the operations of a company and in the case of a market important economic and/or political news.

 

The most important thing to remember is that all investments and situations are dynamic and changeable and that the previous rules outlined provide at best a simple indication of potential.

 

It should be noted that this article and all articles published by Creative Coach Online are for information purposes only and should not be taken as advice. It is essential to discuss the appropriateness of any Strategy with a licensed/registered professional. For more details, please visit https://www.creativecoachonline.com/disclaimer

Let's Talk

Do more, be more, accomplish more. If you would like help on your journey then I'm here to help you get started.


Don't wait another moment. The time is now. The person is you. 

Take the leap and get in touch or follow me https://www.creativecoachonline.com/ or email edward@creativecoachonline.com



Copyright © Edward Ketterer 2022

Edward Ketterer has asserted his rights to be identified as the author of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.

All rights reserved.

No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of the copyright owner.


Managed Portfolios – Risks
By Edward Ketterer 11 Apr, 2023
The selection of assets that comprise a portfolio of investments should always be determined by the risk tolerance of the investor.
By Edward Ketterer 12 Jul, 2022
With diversification across different Global Capital Markets, potential, high returns can best be realized when investment timeframes and funding commitments are managed to reflect the investors’ risk profile.
ESG & CSR Strategies
By Edward Ketterer 12 Jul, 2022
The world becomes a greener place and a more pleasant land when all investors participate by investing in those who have taken up the mantel of ensuring a sustainable pleasant and encouraging workplace and environment to live in.
Stock Picking Analytics
By Edward Ketterer 11 Jul, 2022
Stock-picking Analytics – how to find stocks that have the potential for growth at reasonable prices whilst studying price movements through trend lines and pattern recognition protocols for more immediate returns.
By Edward Ketterer 20 Dec, 2021
To broaden diversification, provide lower volatility and higher potential returns investors are increasing looking at Alternative investments which are very much in keeping with the concept of “Time In, Not timing” as outlined in the article “Diversification and Investment Time Frame”.
Managed Portfolios - Structures
By Edward Ketterer 13 Dec, 2021
From the foundation of a Managed Portfolio a Strategy takes form and built through a structure that best represents the considerations and outcomes to be achieved.
Managed Portfolios
By Edward Ketterer 13 Dec, 2021
With the creation of a Managed Portfolio a foundation is developed from which a Strategy takes form.
Retirement Planning
By Edward Ketterer 13 Dec, 2021
There are many things to consider when going into Retirement Funding i.e. selecting structures, investment assets and tax implications - each needs to be looked and considered carefully not just to start with but on an ongoing basis.
Show More
Share by: